But let's say he's starting at table minimum of $12. Of course, if a player knows it's going to hit exactly three times before the seven out, he will wisely bet table max and then take it down after three rolls, collecting $8,400 at my table where table max is $2,000 but goes to $2,400 on six and eight.

(Yes, it goes to 5/30 if we know there's no sevens, but our player does not know this, of course.) So over 36 throws, it hits five times, so we're likely to see it hit three times in this streak. The eight has a probability of 5/36 of hitting. Assuming no seven outs until roll 30, the place bet is off if there's no point, and that four throws are on the comeout, and there are two front line winners and one seven out, we have 22 rolls in which to increase or decrease this place bet. Let's assume that the player places a $12 eight as his only place bet and moves it to a six if the point becomes eight. Averaging 1.5 comeout rolls and 9 rolls to hit the point, we figure that our hero hits 2 points and sevens out on the attempt to hit the third point. If a shift lasts 480 minutes (and I get people who will be on my table from start to finish,) and we go a little faster than one roll per minute, we get 60 shooters, on average, per 8-hour shift.Īccording to the Wizard's page on the probability of survival, that special one-in-60 roll value is worth about 29 rolls before hitting the seven out on roll 30. I also know from dealing that seeing a really favorable stretch over the course of an eight-hour shift is inevitable.Īccording to the Wizard, the average person rolls 8.5 times before sevening out. so I'm a little inconsistent.ĭice don't get hot or cold my friend. Now obviously if you took the time to actually read all of that, I vary the increments of the press (sometimes it's full press, sometimes it's 2 units, sometimes it's 1 unit, sometimes it's a random amount of units). but if it's not working, it's not working. Now for me, if a table is cold and no one's hitting anything very often, I give in and bet a negative progression style. anything in parentheses is a RUNNING TOTAL of what you've gotten back in profit, NOT including the action still on the table.Ĩ. Anybody do anything similar, or have any critiques/advice?Īssuming this is a $10 game. I have a few press systems, depending on how hot/cold the table is. I'm sure it's been discussed before but I'm always curious to know, so let's refresh the memory.

Craps pressing the 6 and 8